Thoughts from the Driver’s Seat with Mike Nelson
Fleet Turnover and Electrification
Last year, in a piece replete with statistics and infographics, three New York times journalists explored the difficult task of moving the United States toward a fully-electric fleet (i.e., vehicles in circulation). According to the article:
Even in 2050, when electric vehicles are projected to make up 60 percent of new sales, the majority of vehicles on the road would still run on gasoline. Slow fleet turnover is a major challenge for climate policy.
If the United States wanted to move to a fully electric fleet by 2050—to meet President Biden’s goal of net zero emissions—then sales of gasoline-powered vehicles would likely have to end altogether by around 2035, a heavy lift.
What We’re Reading
Tesla secures a deal to make cars safer through an over-the-air update
ZD Net, October 13, 2022
Software company Zenseact uses cutting-edge AI to boost safety systems in Polestar 3
PR Newswire, October 13, 2022
Why Cruise is making its own chips, and a lot more besides
TechCrunch, October 16, 2022
NHTSA Revisits the 5-Second Rule
We have written about Event Data Recorders (“EDRs”) and their limitations before, noting “most significantly, an EDR only records data in a crash (or crash-like) event, and even then provides only a snapshot of the seconds leading up to the event.” Earlier this year, NHTSA published a proposal to address this limitation by amending its regulations regarding EDRs. Specifically, the amendment would “extend the EDR recording period for timed data metrics from 5 seconds of pre-crash data at a frequency of 2 Hz to 20 seconds of pre-crash data at a frequency of 10 Hz (i.e., increase from 2 samples per second to 10 samples per second).”
What We’re Reading
Godfather of Self-Driving Cars Says the Tech Is Going Nowhere
Futurism, October 9, 2022
Lyft exec was wrong about driverless vehicles – but he still believes in their potential
CNBC, October 11, 2022
Consumer comfort with automated vehicles may be overstated – J.D. Power
CBT News, October 5, 2022
Despite warnings, many people treat partially automated vehicles as self-driving
IIHS-HLDI, October 11, 2022
Do I Really Own My Car?
As vehicle connectivity becomes more prevalent, OEMs are increasingly migrating to a business model where consumers may own the wheels, engine, and seats in their new cars, but not the critical software that operates them. Because software “ownership” is directly related to profitability and control of key vehicle features, it is no surprise that an ownership battleground of sorts has emerged between OEMs and their customers.
What We’re Reading
Waymo pitted its autonomous vehicles against a virtual superhuman driver to see which was safer
The Verge, September 29, 2022
Growth in Autonomous Vehicles Could Improve Traffic Flow
Governing, October 2, 2022
Tesla will remove more vehicle sensors amid Autopilot scrutiny
Reuters, October 4, 2022
Thoughts from the Driver’s Seat with Mike Nelson
Navigating the Steep Learning Curve of AV Technology
It seems that Tesla is always making some “big announcement,” but the recent announcement that FSD Beta would be made available to additional drivers really hit close to home. Over the weekend, Partner Mike Nelson’s Model Y alerted him that he was one of the chosen tens-of-thousands who had been granted access to the system. He promptly downloaded the FSD Beta 10.69.2.2 software update and has been digesting the release notes that came with it—technical jargon and all.
What We’re Reading
EVs predicted to make up 52% of all new vehicles sold by 2030, thanks to tax credits
Repairer Driven News, September 22, 2022
Can Tesla Maintain Its Big Lead As Other Brands’ EV Sales Surge?
InsideEVs, September 20, 2022
Tesla Full Self-Driving Beta: FSD Beta 10.69 Latest Observations
CleanTechnica, September 25, 2022
NHTSA “Levels Up” its Cybersecurity Best Practices
Earlier this month, NHTSA released its “Cybersecurity Best Practices for the Safety of Modern Vehicles.” This new release updates NHTSA’s original best practices, published in 2016, which were intended to provide NHTSA’s “non-binding guidance to the automotive industry for improving motor vehicle cybersecurity.” Likewise, the 2022 version is “non-binding and voluntary,” with NHTSA encouraging “vehicle and equipment manufacturers to review th[e] guidance to determine whether and, if so, how to apply this guidance to their unique systems.”
What We’re Reading
Connected revolution: The future of US auto insurance
McKinsey & Company, September 15, 2022
Tesla is sued by drivers over alleged false Autopilot, Full Self-Driving claims
Reuters, September 14, 2022
Tesla expands its Full Self-Driving Beta to 60,000 more owners
Electrek, September 19, 2022
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